Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dragón are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Águila are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 91.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Copa Presidente, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águila
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
11.1%
Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40