GGOALVIO

Malaysia · FA Cup · 10/23/2026, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Johor Darul Takzim FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

DPMM FC Brunei 0-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC

Original prediction

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home17.175.2%24.7%19.5 pts
Draw7.2312.4%21.4%9.0 pts
Away1.0982.4%53.9%-28.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-28.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Johor Darul Takzim FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DPMM FC BruneiWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Johor Darul Takzim FCWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DPMM FC BruneiJohor Darul Takzim FC
75.0Attack100.0
41.7Defence66.7
58.3Form100.0
60.3Power85.9
1.76xG2.36
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