GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 2. Division · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Doxa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Doxa 2-1 Anagennisi Deryneia

Original prediction

Doxa

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4860.5%49.1%-11.4 pts
Draw3.9222.9%25.7%2.8 pts
Away5.3916.6%25.2%8.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Doxa

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Doxa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoxaDLLWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Anagennisi DeryneiaLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DoxaAnagennisi Deryneia
100.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.87xG1.16
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