Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doxa are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while AEL are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and AEL hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the 1. Division, while AEL holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AEL
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
AEL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50