Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dover are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Torquay are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torquay hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the National League - South, while Torquay holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00