Dovervs
Maidenhead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dover · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dover 0-3 Maidenhead
Original prediction
Dover
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.3% | 38.8% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 26.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 46.0% | 35.0% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Dover
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Dover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoverDDWLW
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MaidenheadDLDWD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
DoverMaidenhead
72.2Attack16.7
27.8Defence72.2
44.4Form33.3
50.2Power43.7
1.49xG1.19