Dovervs
Dorking Wanderers
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dover 3-2 Dorking Wanderers
Original prediction
Dover
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.4% | 40.8% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 24.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.0% | 34.7% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dover
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Dover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoverDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dorking WanderersDWWWD
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DoverDorking Wanderers
100.0Attack88.9
50.0Defence33.3
100.0Form77.8
86.5Power70.7
2.33xG1.74