Dovervs
Dorking Wanderers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dover 1-1 Dorking Wanderers
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.53 | 25.8% | 32.3% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 51.1% | 41.1% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20