Dovervs
Chelmsford City
LIVEEngland · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelmsford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.4% | 34.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 29.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.7% | 36.2% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Chelmsford City
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Chelmsford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoverDWDWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Chelmsford CityDLWWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DoverChelmsford City
56.7Attack33.3
46.7Defence70.4
56.7Form40.7
55.3Power51.6
1.17xG1.00