Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dover are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Braintree are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dover hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the National League - South, while Dover holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dover
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
12.9%
Dover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00