Dovervs
AFC Totton
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dover 2-0 AFC Totton
Original prediction
Dover
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.8% | 49.9% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 23.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.1% | 26.4% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Dover
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Dover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoverWWWLD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AFC TottonLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DoverAFC Totton
55.6Attack33.3
40.7Defence45.8
51.9Form41.7
51.8Power42.1
1.93xG1.13