GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Douglas Haig 0-0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, with an exact score probability of 32%.

Prediction record

Final result

Douglas Haig 0-0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.4%40.0%-8.5 pts
Draw2.9430.6%35.9%5.3 pts
Away4.3020.9%24.1%3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.94 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.3 pts

Projected Score

Douglas Haig 0–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Exact score probability: 32%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Douglas HaigWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoyWWWWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Douglas HaigGimnasia Chivilcoy
45.3Attack30.7
70.7Defence81.3
56.0Form54.7
57.8Power57.3
0.66xG0.50
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