Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorogi FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 5-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dorogi FC 3-1 Bicskei
Original prediction
Dorogi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 62.5% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.4% | 19.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.3% | 17.9% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.5–18%
Predicted outcome
Dorogi FC
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Dorogi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dorogi FCWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BicskeiWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dorogi FCBicskei
100.0Attack80.0
77.8Defence23.3
81.5Form50.0
81.5Power52.7
4.41xG1.25