Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dornbirn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 4-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dornbirn 1-0 Lauterach
Original prediction
Dornbirn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 78.4% | 79.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.95 | 13.0% | 11.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 10.46 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.4–19%
Predicted outcome
Dornbirn
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Dornbirn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DornbirnDWWWW
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LauterachDDLLD
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DornbirnLauterach
100.0Attack52.4
76.2Defence19.0
81.0Form14.3
81.8Power31.9
4.18xG0.92