Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dornbirn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dornbirn 0-0 Kufstein
Original prediction
Dornbirn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.9% | 79.4% | 15.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 12.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.3% | 7.9% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Dornbirn
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
79.4%
Dornbirn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DornbirnWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KufsteinWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DornbirnKufstein
76.7Attack40.0
66.7Defence43.3
66.7Form23.3
67.0Power37.9
3.13xG0.68