Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dornbirn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dornbirn 0-2 Kitzbühel
Original prediction
Dornbirn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.2% | 53.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 22.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 24.0% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Dornbirn
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Dornbirn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DornbirnLWDWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KitzbühelWWLWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DornbirnKitzbühel
85.2Attack77.8
70.4Defence55.6
74.1Form66.7
73.2Power65.7
2.49xG1.32