Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grazer AK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dornbirn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Grazer AK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grazer AK hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the 2. Liga, while Grazer AK holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grazer AK
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Grazer AK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40