GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maidenhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorking Wanderers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maidenhead are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maidenhead hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the National League, while Maidenhead holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maidenhead

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Maidenhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorking WanderersLDDDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MaidenheadDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dorking WanderersMaidenhead
39.1Attack43.5
38.4Defence51.4
32.6Form42.0
38.8Power47.4
1.21xG1.52
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