Dorking Wanderersvs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 43.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 28.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.2% | 28.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20