Dorking Wanderersvs
Chelmsford City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Chelmsford City
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.6% | 47.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.3% | 27.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.2% | 25.8% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60