Dorking Wanderersvs
Braintree
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dorking Wanderers 4-3 Braintree
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.5% | 62.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.5% | 18.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.34 | 17.0% | 18.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60