Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dordrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dordrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Roda are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dordrecht hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Eerste Divisie, while Dordrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dordrecht
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Dordrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40