Friendlies Clubs
Dordrecht
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Borussia Dortmund II
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
The model projects 2.17 xG for Dordrecht and 1.20 xG for Borussia Dortmund II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Dordrecht holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.36 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesDordrechtBorussia Dortmund IIProbability breakdown
Borussia Dortmund II leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Borussia Dortmund II Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1
Dordrecht host Borussia Dortmund II in Friendlies Clubs. Dordrecht have recorded WLLWWD in recent matches while Borussia Dortmund II arrive with a run of WLWLLW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.
Why GoalVio backs this
The xG model projects 2.17 for Dordrecht and 1.20 for Borussia Dortmund II. The gap of 0.97 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.
Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Dordrecht have been conceding 1.67 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Head to head
Recent form
Dordrecht
Borussia Dortmund II
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
GoalVio's model predicts Borussia Dortmund II to win with 37% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.