Dordrechtvs
Almere City FC
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dordrecht 3-2 Almere City FC
Original prediction
Almere City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 31.1% | 16.1% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.8% | 16.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.2% | 67.2% | 22.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Almere City FC
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40