GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/12/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dordoi Bishkek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dordoi Bishkek are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ilbirs are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dordoi Bishkek hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Premier League, while Dordoi Bishkek holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dordoi Bishkek

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Dordoi Bishkek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dordoi BishkekLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IlbirsLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Dordoi BishkekIlbirs
50.0Attack43.3
53.3Defence46.7
41.7Form38.3
48.3Power43.6
1.74xG1.10
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