GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/16/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dordoi Bishkek are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alga are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alga hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Premier League, while Alga holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alga

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Alga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dordoi BishkekWLDDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlgaDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Dordoi BishkekAlga
50.0Attack61.4
53.3Defence68.4
41.7Form68.4
48.3Power67.5
0.96xG1.67
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