GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownDWDDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Tiverton TownLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownTiverton Town
52.4Attack50.8
38.9Defence41.3
47.6Form41.3
48.3Power46.1
2.02xG1.70
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