GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownSwindon Supermarine
52.4Attack57.9
38.9Defence27.0
47.6Form38.9
48.3Power42.8
2.53xG1.93
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