GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sholing are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SholingDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownSholing
52.4Attack33.3
38.9Defence100.0
47.6Form100.0
48.3Power83.3
1.41xG1.78
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