GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Salisbury are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWWDDW

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyDWDDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dorchester TownSalisbury
52.4Attack55.6
38.9Defence63.5
47.6Form62.7
48.3Power62.5
1.19xG1.96
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