GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/21/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Poole Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWWDDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownPoole Town
52.4Attack33.3
38.9Defence66.7
47.6Form50.0
48.3Power53.0
1.59xG1.62
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