GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dorchester TownPoole Town
52.4Attack33.3
38.9Defence66.7
47.6Form50.0
48.3Power53.0
1.59xG1.62
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