Dorchester Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/16/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Dorchester Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00