Dorchester Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/20/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Dorchester Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20