GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/22/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

71.5%

Model confidence

71.5%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MarlowDLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownMarlow
52.4Attack35.7
38.9Defence8.7
47.6Form16.7
48.3Power23.7
3.06xG1.12
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