GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownHayes & Yeading United
52.4Attack46.8
38.9Defence46.8
47.6Form36.5
48.3Power45.1
1.84xG1.56
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