GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Harrow BoroughLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Dorchester TownHarrow Borough
52.4Attack47.6
38.9Defence23.0
47.6Form31.0
48.3Power36.0
2.72xG1.55
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