GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gosport BoroughLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Dorchester TownGosport Borough
52.4Attack0.0
38.9Defence66.7
47.6Form0.0
48.3Power26.7
1.74xG1.44
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