GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.75 scored and 3.75 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownLLDL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.75/3.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Chesham UnitedWWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 2.25/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Dorchester TownChesham United
52.4Attack65.9
38.9Defence63.5
47.6Form71.4
48.3Power67.2
1.18xG2.36
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