GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownDLDWL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownChertsey Town
52.4Attack83.3
38.9Defence83.3
47.6Form100.0
48.3Power89.7
1.39xG2.19
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