GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/14/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownWDLLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bracknell TownWDWLW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Dorchester TownBracknell Town
52.4Attack50.0
38.9Defence0.0
47.6Form50.0
48.3Power34.5
2.00xG1.67
View match centre →