GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownDDWLD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Beaconsfield TownWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownBeaconsfield Town
52.4Attack50.0
38.9Defence38.1
47.6Form38.1
48.3Power44.0
2.14xG1.67
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