GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Dorchester TownBasingstoke Town
52.4Attack50.0
38.9Defence0.0
47.6Form0.0
48.3Power21.5
2.13xG1.56
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