GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorchester Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dorchester TownDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownBasingstoke Town
52.4Attack50.0
38.9Defence0.0
47.6Form0.0
48.3Power21.5
2.13xG1.56
View match centre →