Doradosvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/17/2025, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40