Doradosvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/6/2025, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00