Doradosvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/1/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60