DoradosvsTepatitlán

Dorados are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.