Doradosvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/16/2025, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40