Doradosvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/10/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40